Difesa anti-missilistica e disputa sul nucleare – Negoziato strategico
● Si parla già da tempo di un accordo strategico USA-Russia, in cui i primi rinunciano alla difesa anti-missilistica in Est Europa, ed i secondi collaborano con gli USA per impedire lo sviluppo di armi atomiche da parte dell’Iran.
● Si tratterebbe in ogni caso di un accordo complesso:
o fintanto che la questione iraniana è discussa nel quadro ONU, hanno il diritto di dire la loro anche i cinesi che non intendono farsi mettere in minoranza da USA e Russia.
o Gli Usa devono anche tener conto degli alleati europei, nel caso specifico di Polonia e Cekia, contrari al posizionamento dello scudo antimissilistico sul proprio territorio.
● Uno scambio di questo tipo non verrà mai reso pubblico, il presidente russo l’ha già smentito da Madrid; ma nel quadro dei negoziati Russia-Usa sugli armamenti, previsti per quest’anno, si aprono le possibilità per confezionare dei “pacchetti”.
Medvedev: “Non produttivo” legare i missili USA ai negoziati con l’Iran
● Il presidente russo, Medvedev, respinge la possibilità di legare i negoziati sul sitema di difesa missilistica USA in Europa alla questione iraniana.
o Secondo il NYT, in una lettera segreta a Medvedev il presidente americano, Obama, avrebbe offerto la rinuncia americana allo scudo antimissilistico se Mosca collaborasse ad impedire all’Iran lo sviluppo di missili a lungo raggio.
o Smentita dal portavoce del presidente russo l’esistenza di qualsiasi proposta di accordo su Iran e difesa missilistica; Obama: mai avanzata una offerta di scambio.
Medvedev, ribadisce l’opposizione russa allo scudo americano, la Russia potrebbe discutere però con USA e UE una difesa missilistica congiunta.
Von Günther Nonnenmacher
– Von einem „Great Bargain“, in dem Amerika auf eine Raketenabwehr in Osteuropa verzichten würde gegen das Versprechen, dass Moskau zusammen mit Washington den Aufbau einer iranischen Fähigkeit zur Herstellung von Nuklearwaffen verhindert, ist auf Strategieforen schon lange die Rede. Was plausibel klingt, ist in Wirklichkeit recht kompliziert.
– Solange mit Teheran im UN-Rahmen verhandelt wird, haben auch die Chinesen ein Wort mitzureden, und die werden sich von Washington und Moskau nicht majorisieren lassen.
– Amerika muss auch Rücksicht nehmen auf seine Verbündeten in Europa, in diesem Fall Polen und Tschechen, die sich gegen erheblichen Widerstand für die Stationierung entschieden haben. Da geht es um die Verlässlichkeit der Zusagen Washingtons, und es geht für Warschau wie Prag darum, das Gesicht zu wahren.
Ein Tauschhandel dieser Art wird nie veröffentlicht – der russische Präsident Medwedjew hat in Madrid schon vorsorglich dementiert. Zwischen Moskau und Washington stehen in diesem Jahr ohnehin Abrüstungsgespräche an. Da gibt es Gelegenheiten, „Pakete“ zu schnüren.
– MADRID: Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Tuesday that it was "not productive" to link talks over a US missile-defense system in Europe with the perceived security threat from Iran as proposed by Washington. His comments during a state visit to Spain came after the White House said US President Barack Obama had written to his Russian counterpart about the relationship between US plans to deploy a missile defense system in Europe and the Iranian "threat." The New York Times reported Tuesday that Obama suggested in a secret letter to Medvedev that he would back off deployment of the missile-defense shield if Moscow would help stop Iran from developing long-range missiles.
Speaking at a joint conference with the Spanish Premier Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, Medvedev ruled out a quid-pro-quo approach to the talks, saying it would not be useful.
"If we are to speak about some sort of exchange, the question has not been presented in such a way, because it is not productive," he said when asked about Obama’s letter.
"Nobody is stipulating this with some sort of exchanges, all the more so relating to the Iran problem," he said, adding contacts between Moscow and Washington over Iran "have never slackened."
– Medvedev’s spokeswoman told reporters in Madrid the letter the Russian president received from Obama did not contain any offers of a deal over Iran and missile defense.
– "This letter was a response to a letter from the Russian leader. Medvedev valued the swiftness and the positive tone expressed in the letter," said spokeswoman Natalia Timakova.
– "Obama’s letter contains various offers and evaluations of the current situation. But regarding any concrete offers or mutually obligatory initiatives, such things were not contained in the letter," she added.
– In Washington, Obama confirmed Tuesday that he offered no "quid pro quo" to Russia in the letter.
– Medvedev reaffirmed Russia’s opposition to a US missile shield but said Russia could discuss joint missile defense with the US and Europe. He also praised Obama’s willingness to seek a compromise, saying they were in "constant touch."
"Our American partners are ready to discuss this problem. I am expecting that those positive signals that we have received will be embodied in the agreements," he said.
Moscow has been long been angry at plans by Obama’s predecessor George W. Bush to place interceptor missiles in Poland and a powerful radar in the Czech Republic, saying the move was directly aimed against Russia.
Officials during the Bush administration said the system was intended to protect Europe and the US against a limited long-range missile attack by Iran, which Washington accuses of trying to develop nuclear weapons. – AFP, with The Daily Star